Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “Asking citizens themselves to predict what will happen in elections is an emerging tool in forecasting elections.”
“Despite a usual trend of midterm seat loss for the presidential party, a survey of U.S. adults from April suggested the public was likelier to believe Republicans would win majorities in both chambers next year.
”“This comes despite more respondents believing that President Trump’s approval rating will decline and the economy will worsen in the future.”