Seth Masket: “I’m seeing pundits working through elaborate plots for how the non-Trump portion of the Republican Party can still win this presidential nomination by coalescing behind a single candidate. I certainly get the incentive to make this contest seem more competitive than it is. But the fact is that by basically any measure we have, the Republican Party has already decided on Donald Trump.
”“Put another way: for either Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis to win the nomination at this point would be a bigger upset and a greater challenge to traditions and political science research than Donald Trump’s 2016 nomination was.”