Harry Enten: “Back in 2020, the closest battleground states (i.e., those decided by 3 points or less) were either around the Great Lakes (Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin) or along the Sun Belt (Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina).”
“Biden would be reelected if he wins all the states in either region, so long as he also carries the remaining states he took in 2020.
”“At this point, though, it seems his easiest path to a second term runs through the Great Lakes rather than the Sun Belt.”
Check out the interactive map to test for yourself.