Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “With decision time getting tantalizingly close for the presidential election, the seven states that we rate as Toss-ups have dominated political discourse—and our own internal thinking—to a perhaps unhealthy degree.”
“Wednesday night, David Plouffe, a veteran Obama strategist who is now advising the Harris campaign, said that all 7 Toss-up states are on track to be decided by a percentage point or less.
At this point, we’d truly not be surprised if Plouffe’s prediction comes to pass. However, we did want to look back through history to see how common it was to have so many states decided by such narrow margins.”