What It Would Take to Flip a State

Swing-O-Matic shows what could happen in the 2024 election if Joe Biden or Donald Trump gains ground with different demographic groups — and if turnout shifts among others.

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createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src=p+"://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js";fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs);}}(document,"script","twitter-wjs"); is that a 20 percentage point slippage for Biden among Black and Hispanic voters would not lead to a Biden loss if he improved his margin with white voters by two percentage points.