Kamala Harris is now leading Donald Trump nationally in the FiveThirtyEight polling average, 45% to 43.5%.
Harris is polling on average about 3 to 4 percentage points better than Biden before he dropped out.
G. Elliot Morris: “That 1.5-percentage-point lead is within our average’s uncertainty interval, which you can think of as a sort of margin of error for our polling averages.
We also have new Harris versus Trump polling averages for the key swing states of Georgia, Michigan and Pennsylvania, and the races there are within the uncertainty interval as well.”